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2024-12-14 04:44:11

December 13th Morning Post: Heavy landing, be careful to cash in the risks!Overnight, European and American stock markets were mixed, and the three major indexes of US stocks continued to adjust. The Chinese stock index rose slightly by 0.02%, and the A50 index fell by 0.89%. The external sentiment was negative. Judging from the sudden diving in the A50 session at night, foreign capital is also in line with expectations, so it is necessary to guard against chasing up today.3. Implement special actions to boost domestic demand. I won't say more. The expectation has already landed, but it depends on implementation. Before, the market had expected to issue special treasury bonds to residents to subsidize consumption. Now consumer stocks are accelerating in the short term, so be careful to cash in the risks.


Secondly, the draft of the heavy meeting has landed. Compared with the previous meeting, the general content is basically the same, only a few points exceed expectations. Let's have a brief chat with you:Anyway, the news is definitely positive, but they are all long-term positive, and most of them have long been expected. Now we can only say that they are in line with expectations. The above still wants to stimulate the spontaneous trading of the market through expectations, but yesterday, there was no mysterious capital entering the market, and A shares may not be able to break the Black Thursday spell.At present, the scope of investment includes national debt and index funds. In fact, I think the biggest advantage is that under the background of the proliferation of index funds, you can focus on tracking the varieties selected above. In order to encourage individual pensions to enter the market, the products selected are generally not too bad.


3. Implement special actions to boost domestic demand. I won't say more. The expectation has already landed, but it depends on implementation. Before, the market had expected to issue special treasury bonds to residents to subsidize consumption. Now consumer stocks are accelerating in the short term, so be careful to cash in the risks.1, improve the financial deficit ratio. Proactive fiscal policy,Therefore, what is lacking at the moment is substantial and beneficial, such as lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates. Technically, my judgment remains unchanged, and the nature of the small high point of 3494 points has not changed. Unless it can be broken through in volume, it will need to be adjusted at that time. If it is short-term, continue to wait and see, and don't blindly chase after it.

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